Trends matter a great deal, especially for research and planning. And so what happens in a time of crisis, when all standards seem to change? What is the point of a trend if there is a sudden and unpredictable disruption – like COVID-19 – altering the best-laid plans and predictions? Dr Tara Polzer Ngwato, Director at Social Surveys Africa, explores the impact of a crisis on underlying economic and social trends and discusses how the annual Indulamithi Barometer, produced by Social Surveys in collaboration with the Indlulamithi Scenarios Project, remains more relevant than ever.
Read the full article here: https://sascenarios2030.co.za/2020/04/16/trends-and-black-swans/